![]() ![]() If Ukrainian Resistance Continues as a Russia-Friendly Government Is Installed: Initial sanctions on energy and oil exports problematic but possible.ģ.State-owned enterprises (SOEs) in the real economy outside the energy sector added to sectoral/specially designated nationals (SDN) sanctions list and.If Russia Takes Kyiv and Other Cities East of the Dnieper River: Our legal team is working through the details of these items as we speak.Ģ. Sanctions on more Putin allies and family members.A ban on technological exports to Russia by the US, the EU, and some countries in Asia and.Thirteen entities with new sanctions imposed on primary and secondary trading of new issues.Four major banks added to the Specially Designated Nationals (SDN) list prohibiting all transactions.Beyond that, the potential costs to the West increase, but I believe these countries’ willingness to absorb these costs is much higher than in the past.Īt the time of writing, the UK and the US have already announced additional sanctions, with the EU and others to follow shortly. My conviction in the first set of steps is high. What does the escalation of sanctions look like from here? Below is a rough guide. Even if Russia succeeds in this, we would expect persistent pockets of resistance. This implies ongoing military conflict until the Ukrainian government steps down and much of Eastern Ukraine is secured. Putin has signaled that he wishes to replace the current Ukrainian government with a pro-Russian administration.
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